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Modelling the Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Violent Discipline Against Children

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic could increase violence against children at home. However, collecting empirical data on violence is challenging due to ethical, safety, and data quality concerns. This study estimated the anticipated effect of COVID-19 on violent discipline at home using multivariable predictive regression models. Under a “high restrictions” scenario there would be a 35% to 46% increase in violent discipline scores in Nigeria, Mongolia and Suriname, and under a “lower restrictions” scenario there would be between a 4% to 6% increase in violent discipline scores in these countries. Policy makers need to plan for increases in violent discipline during successive waves of lockdowns.

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Publication date: 2020

Author(s): Alessandra Guedes

Journal: Child Abuse & Neglect

Language: English

Peer reviewed: YES

Related Innocenti Project(s):

Violence against children